National League Hub

A schedule-aware projection using the 72 completed matches and all 480 fixtures still to come. The projected W-D-L record is taken from a representative simulated season. As the season progresses and more results are known, the forecast should become more accurate.

Proj.	Club	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Champ.	2–3	4–7	Releg.
1	Boreham Wood	46	25	10	11	+27	85	55.7%	29.4%	12.8%	0.0%
2	Kidderminster Harriers	46	23	10	13	+28	79	3.2%	16.8%	39.7%	0.0%
3	Aldershot Town	46	22	13	11	+21	79	3.4%	17.2%	41.0%	0.0%
4	Hornchurch	46	24	6	16	+13	78	1.9%	14.7%	36.3%	0.1%
5	Harrogate Town	46	23	8	15	+20	77	16.4%	38.7%	32.2%	0.0%
6	Southend United	46	22	11	13	+16	77	8.3%	26.2%	41.8%	0.0%
7	Yeovil Town	46	22	10	14	+24	76	4.4%	20.7%	40.9%	0.0%
8	Sutton United	46	21	11	14	+13	74	1.0%	7.4%	28.4%	0.2%
9	Carlisle United	46	21	8	17	+18	71	0.9%	6.3%	26.3%	0.3%
10	Eastleigh	46	17	18	11	+12	69	0.6%	4.0%	20.3%	0.4%
11	AFC Fylde	46	18	13	15	+5	67	3.9%	15.3%	38.6%	0.0%
12	Hartlepool United	46	18	10	18	-7	64	0.3%	1.9%	16.6%	0.6%
13	Barrow	46	15	16	15	+4	61	0.1%	0.1%	1.3%	13.0%
14	Altrincham	46	16	12	18	-11	60	0.0%	0.6%	7.7%	2.8%
15	Boston United	46	16	10	20	-6	58	0.0%	0.3%	5.8%	5.2%
16	FC Halifax Town	46	16	9	21	+1	57	0.0%	0.1%	2.8%	9.6%
17	Worthing	46	16	9	21	-2	57	0.0%	0.3%	3.8%	7.2%
18	Woking	46	16	7	23	-15	55	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	75.0%
19	Wealdstone	46	13	15	18	-14	54	0.0%	0.0%	0.2%	41.0%
20	Tamworth	46	14	11	21	-24	53	0.0%	0.0%	0.3%	35.5%
21	Forest Green Rovers	46	14	9	23	-25	51	0.0%	0.2%	3.0%	7.8%
22	Scunthorpe United	46	13	9	24	-21	48	0.0%	0.0%	0.2%	45.9%
23	Gateshead	46	9	12	25	-27	39	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	57.8%
24	Solihull Moors	46	9	11	26	-50	38	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	97.9%

Forecast probabilities: Champ. = 1st; 2–3 = play-off semi-final places; 4–7 = play-off eliminator places; Releg. = 21st–24th. Each percentage is calculated from the 1,600 season simulations. The model predicts league finishing positions only — it does not attempt to predict the play-off winner.